Round 2027
Round 1 of 20 in simulation 6 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.108 to 15.89.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.89 (−0.108)
- In: 16.00
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 200
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 15.99 | −0.091 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.22 | −0.097 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.21 | −0.199 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.49 | 16.76 | +0.265 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.49 | 15.27 | −0.224 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.69 | −0.155 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.07 | 15.82 | −0.252 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.54 | −0.091 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.68 | 16.55 | −0.126 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2027: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,014. Maintenance 662. Spent 152 on actions (build 122, buy 30). 200 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.65 levelsmcts_greedy
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 2.48 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & AI Competence by 5 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence30 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 5 per cent
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Education by 6 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 8 per cent
- Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −10.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.21 | +1.28 | 0.00 | −0.06 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.47 | +0.53 | 0.00 | −0.06 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.43 | +0.50 | 0.00 | −0.06 | 0.00 |
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.39 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.38 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.38 | 0.00 |