Round 3 · simulation 7 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.118 to 16.24.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.24 (+0.118)
In: 16.12
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
589
In: 370
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1216.16+0.0362
Strategic Infrastructure16.3616.40+0.0431
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital17.3117.80+0.4931
Information & Influence15.5115.73+0.2193 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.8815.92+0.0413
Financial Strength16.0916.11+0.0205 → 4
Production & Innovation16.6716.71+0.0371
Trade & Investment16.7116.88+0.1722

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,046, plus 370 carried in. Maintenance 675. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, partner 61). 589 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.00 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 4 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 2.43 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 3 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access30 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 2 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 3 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +2.1 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.47+1.400.00+0.070.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.32+1.280.00+0.030.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.23+1.210.00+0.020.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.01+0.970.00+0.030.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.72+0.680.00+0.030.00
Advanced Education+0.54+0.510.00+0.030.00