Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.003 to 17.15.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.15 (−0.003)
- In: 17.16
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 1,071
- In: 1,139
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.74 | 16.63 | −0.106 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.73 | 16.81 | +0.076 | 1 |
| National Security | 14.49 | 14.50 | +0.009 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 19.02 | 19.01 | −0.009 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 18.02 | 17.92 | −0.100 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.86 | 17.04 | +0.177 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.63 | 16.52 | −0.109 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.22 | 17.38 | +0.155 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.69 | 18.58 | −0.117 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,082, plus 1,139 carried in. Maintenance 989. Spent 161 on actions (build 129, buy 32). 1,071 carried over.
- BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base32 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Industrial & Sectoral Base by 0 per cent
- BuyResource Infrastructure32 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Transparency, Oversight & Accountability by 1 per cent
- BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability32 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Political Institutions & Civic Participation by 2 per cent
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation32 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Labour & Employment by 0 per cent
- BuildLabour & Employment32 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 1 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −18.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour & Employment | +0.86 | +1.02 | 0.00 | −0.20 | +0.04 |
| Resource Infrastructure | +0.69 | +0.74 | 0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 |
| Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption | +0.47 | +0.50 | 0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 |
| Transparency, Oversight & Accountability | +0.45 | +0.50 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Political Institutions & Civic Participation | +0.37 | +0.46 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.01 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | +0.36 | +0.46 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |