Round 20 · simulation 7 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.324 to 16.77.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.77 (−0.324)
In: 17.09
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 6
Credits carried
823
In: 829
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.7217.08+0.3602
Strategic Infrastructure16.5816.04−0.5372
National Security14.3013.83−0.4693
Human Capital18.6518.46−0.1941
Information & Influence17.9317.61−0.3251
Governance & Integrity17.3417.09−0.2561
Financial Strength16.3715.93−0.4411 → 2
Production & Innovation17.5517.11−0.4431
Trade & Investment18.4017.79−0.6101

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,068, plus 829 carried in. Maintenance 915. Spent 160 on actions (buy 128, partner 32). 823 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence32 credits for 1.03 levelsmctsahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies32 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems32 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing32 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies32 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −22.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −7.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.23+1.400.00−0.23+0.06
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.13+1.360.00−0.23−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.130.000.00−1.10−0.02
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.11+1.330.00−0.23+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.980.000.00−1.00+0.02
Energy Technologies+0.95+1.400.00−0.450.00