Round 4 · simulation 7 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-greedy-20y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.209 to 16.45.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.45 (+0.208)
In: 16.24
Rank by index
4
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 3
Credits carried
753
In: 559
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1616.19+0.0372
Strategic Infrastructure16.4016.45+0.0511
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital17.8118.29+0.4771
Information & Influence15.7316.59+0.8652 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.9215.97+0.0513
Financial Strength16.1116.22+0.1084
Production & Innovation16.7116.81+0.1061
Trade & Investment16.8817.06+0.1812 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,047, plus 559 carried in. Maintenance 696. Spent 157 on actions (build 31, buy 31, partner 94). 753 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance31 credits for 2.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation31 credits for 1.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 3 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 2 per cent
  • Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +2.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+2.16+2.140.00+0.020.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.05+2.030.00+0.020.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.37+1.430.00+0.070.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.20+1.280.00+0.040.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.01+0.970.00+0.040.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.92+0.900.00+0.020.00