Round 14 · simulation 7 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-greedy-20y

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.012 to 17.48.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.48 (+0.012)
In: 17.47
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
355
In: 508
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.7616.65−0.1052
Strategic Infrastructure17.1117.28+0.1621
National Security14.5114.51−0.0013
Human Capital19.1319.09−0.0341
Information & Influence18.3118.20−0.1141
Governance & Integrity17.6417.79+0.1591
Financial Strength16.9116.95+0.0491
Production & Innovation17.9718.07+0.1051
Trade & Investment18.9118.79−0.1141

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,089, plus 508 carried in. Maintenance 1,079. Spent 163 on actions (build 131, buy 33). 355 carried over.

  • BuildBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship33 credits for 1.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Financial Regulation & Integrity by 0 per cent
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity33 credits for 1.34 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Structural Transformation & Complexity by 0 per cent
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity33 credits for 1.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Health System Capability by 1 per cent
  • BuildHealth System Capability33 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 3 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure33 credits for 0.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 1 per cent
  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −17.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Resource Infrastructure+1.06+1.110.00−0.050.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.95+1.000.00−0.05−0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity+0.81+0.900.00−0.10+0.01
Political Institutions & Civic Participation+0.65+0.730.00−0.09+0.02
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+0.44+0.480.00−0.05+0.01
Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship+0.42+0.500.00−0.10+0.02