Round 2 · simulation 7 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-10y

Round 2028

Round 2 of 10 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 10 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.104 to 16.15.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.15 (+0.105)
In: 16.04
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
396
In: 190
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.12+0.0362
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.36+0.0422 → 1
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital16.7917.21+0.4271
Information & Influence15.4915.72+0.2233 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.8415.88+0.0424 → 3
Financial Strength16.1516.25+0.0974
Production & Innovation16.6316.67+0.0381
Trade & Investment16.6816.71+0.0332

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,022, plus 190 carried in. Maintenance 664. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, buy 30, partner 30). 396 carried over.

  • BuyLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 1.04 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence30 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 2.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +10.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.56+1.530.00+0.030.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.23+1.220.00+0.020.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.10+1.040.00+0.070.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.71+0.680.00+0.030.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.47+0.450.00+0.020.00
Advanced Education+0.30+0.270.00+0.030.00