Round 2030
Round 4 of 10 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 10 years: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.179 to 16.46.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.46 (+0.179)
- In: 16.28
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 773
- In: 581
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.16 | 16.20 | +0.039 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.41 | 16.47 | +0.064 | 1 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.42 | +0.006 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.60 | 18.11 | +0.515 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.09 | 16.65 | +0.557 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.92 | 15.98 | +0.053 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.33 | 16.43 | +0.094 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.71 | 16.81 | +0.107 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.88 | 17.07 | +0.182 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,069, plus 581 carried in. Maintenance 717. Spent 159 on actions (build 96, buy 64). 773 carried over.
- BuildDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks32 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation32 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education32 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance32 credits for 2.05 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity32 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +2.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +2.10 | +2.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.37 | +1.44 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.03 | +0.99 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.02 | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.72 | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.62 | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |