Round 9 · simulation 1 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-20y

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.152 to 16.52.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.52 (+0.152)
In: 16.37
Rank by index
3
In: 4
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
1,612
In: 1,427
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9716.18+0.2083 → 2
Strategic Infrastructure16.0416.06+0.0272
National Security14.0814.09+0.0083
Human Capital18.3118.39+0.0831
Information & Influence16.5516.77+0.2122 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.6615.69+0.0285 → 4
Financial Strength16.5016.60+0.0971
Production & Innovation16.8216.90+0.0751
Trade & Investment17.4118.04+0.6271

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,091, plus 1,427 carried in. Maintenance 746. Spent 160 on actions (build 64, buy 32, partner 64). 1,612 carried over.

  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance32 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence32 credits for 1.92 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade32 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence32 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Government Effectiveness & Public Administration by 3 per cent
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration32 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2; Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.92+1.920.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.89+1.900.000.00−0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.22+1.160.000.00+0.06
Digital & Services Trade+0.92+0.930.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.77+0.790.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.75+0.740.000.00+0.01