Round 12 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-greedy

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.259 to 16.67.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.67 (−0.259)
In: 16.93
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 6
Credits carried
953
In: 933
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.4716.26−0.2072
Strategic Infrastructure16.3315.97−0.3572
National Security14.1313.62−0.5023
Human Capital18.8818.87−0.0141
Information & Influence17.3917.31−0.0721
Governance & Integrity16.5916.73+0.1371
Financial Strength16.7416.26−0.4761 → 2
Production & Innovation17.0916.86−0.2271
Trade & Investment18.7318.11−0.6111

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,092, plus 933 carried in. Maintenance 908. Spent 164 on actions (build 131, partner 33). 953 carried over.

  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability33 credits for 1.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Resource Infrastructure by 2 per cent
  • BuildResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Industrial & Sectoral Base by 1 per cent
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base33 credits for 1.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Political Institutions & Civic Participation by 1 per cent
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation33 credits for 1.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 0 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy33 credits for 1.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Labour & Employment by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −26.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.970.000.00−0.99+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.940.000.00−0.940.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.840.000.00−0.840.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.840.000.00−0.83−0.01
Maritime Power−0.830.000.00−0.830.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.810.000.00−0.82+0.01