Round 2 · simulation 5 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-greedy

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 5 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.121 to 15.92.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.92 (−0.120)
In: 16.04
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
389
In: 190
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0815.99−0.0972 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.09−0.2212
National Security14.4114.32−0.0873
Human Capital16.8217.14+0.3181
Information & Influence15.4915.28−0.2173
Governance & Integrity15.8415.73−0.1154 → 5
Financial Strength16.0715.83−0.2445
Production & Innovation16.6316.45−0.1771
Trade & Investment16.6816.43−0.2432

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014, plus 190 carried in. Maintenance 663. Spent 152 on actions (build 122, buy 30). 389 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 15 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 2.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 9 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence30 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 8 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −12.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.92+1.040.00−0.120.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.86+0.980.00−0.120.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.84+0.950.00−0.120.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.57+0.680.00−0.120.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.420.000.00−0.420.00
Advanced Education+0.39+0.510.00−0.120.00