Round 4 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-combined

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.057 to 16.10.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index: 16.10 (+0.058); In: 16.05
Rank by index: 6; In: 6
Domains at Tier 1: 2; In: 2
Credits carried: 1,008; In: 810

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	16.08	16.08	0.000	2
Strategic Infrastructure	16.32	16.32	0.000	2
National Security	14.41	14.41	0.000	3
Human Capital	16.88	17.19	+0.313	1
Information & Influence	15.49	15.70	+0.203	3 → 2
Governance & Integrity	15.84	15.84	0.000	4
Financial Strength	16.07	16.07	0.000	5
Production & Innovation	16.63	16.63	0.000	1
Trade & Investment	16.68	16.68	0.000	2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014, plus 810 carried in. Maintenance 664. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, partner 61). 1,008 carried over.

PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts
BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.53 levelsmcts_fill
BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 2.28 levelsmcts_fill
BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 2.43 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested
Alliances & Security Cooperation	+1.22	+1.22
Technical & Vocational Skills	+1.04	+1.04
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling	+0.95	+0.95
Advanced Education	+0.51	+0.51
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation	+0.33	+0.33