Round 13 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-combined

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.466 to 16.01.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.01 (−0.466)
In: 16.48
Rank by index
6
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 5
Credits carried
1,688
In: 1,556
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2215.91−0.3132
Strategic Infrastructure15.8315.27−0.5552
National Security13.5912.82−0.7733
Human Capital18.4718.36−0.1121
Information & Influence17.2117.02−0.1861
Governance & Integrity15.8215.69−0.1351 → 2
Financial Strength16.4315.67−0.7651 → 2
Production & Innovation16.5716.17−0.3952
Trade & Investment18.1417.17−0.9621 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,085, plus 1,556 carried in. Maintenance 787. Spent 166 on actions (build 33, buy 100, partner 33). 1,688 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation33 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion33 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Communications & Digital Infrastructure by 3 per cent
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure33 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Resource Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuyResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Political Institutions & Civic Participation by 3 per cent
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation33 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −41.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.550.000.00−1.540.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.470.000.00−1.47+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.300.000.00−1.25−0.05
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.300.000.00−1.31+0.02
Maritime Power−1.290.000.00−1.30+0.01
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.290.000.00−1.30+0.01