Round 15 · simulation 7 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-combined

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.297 to 16.81.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.81 (−0.297)
In: 17.11
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 6
Credits carried
1,325
In: 1,470
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.6016.48−0.1162
Strategic Infrastructure16.9216.47−0.4471 → 2
National Security14.5014.34−0.1653
Human Capital18.9718.75−0.2231
Information & Influence17.7717.59−0.1791
Governance & Integrity16.8316.91+0.0813 → 1
Financial Strength16.5415.91−0.6231 → 2
Production & Innovation17.3316.95−0.3751
Trade & Investment18.5517.92−0.6291

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 956, plus 1,470 carried in. Maintenance 938. Spent 164 on actions (build 131, partner 33). 1,325 carried over.

  • BuildResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability33 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base33 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy33 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption33 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −21.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.980.000.00−0.99+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.950.000.00−0.94−0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−0.820.000.00−0.84+0.02
Energy Infrastructure−0.740.000.00−0.740.00
Transport Infrastructure−0.730.000.00−0.74+0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.730.000.00−0.74+0.01