Round 20 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-goal-gap

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 2 actions, and the index +0.157 to 18.21.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index: 18.21 (+0.157); In: 18.05
Rank by index: 1; In: 1
Domains at Tier 1: 7; In: 7
Credits carried: 5; In: 278

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	17.68	17.93	+0.242	2
Strategic Infrastructure	17.65	17.79	+0.139	1
National Security	14.84	14.91	+0.068	3
Human Capital	19.37	19.45	+0.081	1
Information & Influence	18.40	18.44	+0.039	1
Governance & Integrity	18.36	18.58	+0.219	1
Financial Strength	17.64	17.88	+0.237	1
Production & Innovation	19.05	19.32	+0.276	1
Trade & Investment	19.47	19.58	+0.112	1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,180, plus 278 carried in. Maintenance 1,406. Spent 47 on actions (buy 47). 5 carried over.

BuyEnergy Technologies35 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
BuyHealth System Capability12 credits for 0.39 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 7 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +6.3 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Events	Graph
Energy Technologies	+1.41	+1.20	+0.20	+0.01
Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship	+0.67	+0.52	+0.10	+0.04
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment	+0.62	+0.61	0.00	+0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity	+0.62	+0.48	+0.10	+0.03
Labour & Employment	+0.57	+0.45	+0.10	+0.02
Health System Capability	+0.44	+0.39	+0.05	+0.01