Round 4 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.069 to 16.11.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.11 (+0.069)
In: 16.04
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
1,009
In: 810
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.080.0002
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.320.0002
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital16.8217.24+0.4191
Information & Influence15.4915.70+0.2033 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.8415.840.0004
Financial Strength16.0716.070.0005
Production & Innovation16.6316.630.0001
Trade & Investment16.6816.680.0002

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014, plus 810 carried in. Maintenance 663. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, buy 30, partner 30). 1,009 carried over.

  • BuyTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 1.07 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 2.28 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence30 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 2.43 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.60+1.600.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.22+1.220.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.95+0.950.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.51+0.510.000.000.00