Round 13 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.468 to 16.02.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.02 (−0.468)
In: 16.49
Rank by index
6
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 5
Credits carried
1,545
In: 1,461
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.4716.16−0.3092
Strategic Infrastructure15.7215.16−0.5602
National Security13.5712.79−0.7823
Human Capital18.5218.41−0.1151
Information & Influence17.1917.01−0.1871
Governance & Integrity15.8515.71−0.1371 → 3
Financial Strength16.3815.63−0.7551 → 5
Production & Innovation16.5716.17−0.4012
Trade & Investment18.1017.13−0.9651 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,081, plus 1,461 carried in. Maintenance 832. Spent 166 on actions (build 66, buy 66, partner 33). 1,545 carried over.

  • BuildResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation33 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion33 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure33 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls33 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −41.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.550.000.00−1.550.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.480.000.00−1.480.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.310.000.00−1.32+0.01
Maritime Power−1.300.000.00−1.300.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.300.000.00−1.300.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.230.000.00−1.18−0.05