Round 24 · simulation 6 · mcts-m7.m7-kor-mcts-index

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 6 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.299 to 14.60.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
14.60 (−0.299)
In: 14.90
Rank by index
14
In: 12
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 3
Credits carried
802
In: 870
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology13.7913.50−0.2912
Strategic Infrastructure14.5914.49−0.0943
National Security12.6712.48−0.1833
Human Capital17.8217.54−0.2841
Information & Influence15.3815.09−0.2972 → 3
Governance & Integrity13.9713.76−0.2187
Financial Strength13.5513.15−0.4081 → 2
Production & Innovation15.0514.63−0.4182
Trade & Investment17.2916.79−0.5021 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 656, plus 870 carried in. Maintenance 613. Spent 111 on actions (build 44, buy 44, partner 22). 802 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies22 credits for 0.90 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies22 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDiaspora & Global Communities22 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure22 credits for 0.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −23.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.870.000.00−0.89+0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.790.000.00−0.82+0.03
Labour & Employment−0.730.000.00−0.76+0.03
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.720.000.00−0.82+0.10
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.580.000.00−0.580.00
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.560.000.00−0.59+0.03