Round 4 · simulation 100 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s02-hold

Round 2030

Round 4 of 10 in simulation 100 of United Kingdom, hold, 10 years: 0 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.045 to 16.11.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index: 16.11 (+0.044); In: 16.06
Rank by index: 5; In: 5
Domains at Tier 1: 1; In: 1
Credits carried: 1,539; In: 1,121

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	15.93	16.00	+0.069	3
Strategic Infrastructure	15.78	15.86	+0.076	2
National Security	16.28	16.28	0.000	2
Human Capital	16.01	16.05	+0.041	2
Information & Influence	16.89	16.91	+0.023	2
Governance & Integrity	16.21	16.28	+0.076	1
Financial Strength	16.37	16.39	+0.012	3 → 4
Production & Innovation	15.25	15.31	+0.065	3 → 2
Trade & Investment	15.82	15.87	+0.042	3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,076, plus 1,121 carried in. Maintenance 658. Nothing spent on actions. 1,539 carried over.

Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +16.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 3 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events
Technology Adoption & Diffusion	+0.12	+0.12
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration	+0.12	+0.12
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls	+0.12	+0.12
Industrial & Sectoral Base	+0.11	+0.11
Energy Infrastructure	+0.11	+0.11
Resource Infrastructure	+0.11	+0.11