Round 8 · simulation 80 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s02-hold

Round 2034

Round 8 of 10 in simulation 80 of United Kingdom, hold, 10 years: 0 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.155 to 15.72.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index: 15.72 (−0.155); In: 15.88
Rank by index: 6; In: 6
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 1
Credits carried: 2,809; In: 2,370

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	15.80	15.62	−0.181	3
Strategic Infrastructure	15.48	15.38	−0.100	2
National Security	15.98	15.97	−0.016	3
Human Capital	15.99	15.84	−0.154	2
Information & Influence	16.58	16.37	−0.205	2
Governance & Integrity	16.05	15.94	−0.115	1 → 4
Financial Strength	16.30	16.11	−0.198	4
Production & Innovation	15.07	14.88	−0.195	3
Trade & Investment	15.64	15.40	−0.233	3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,068, plus 2,370 carried in. Maintenance 629. Nothing spent on actions. 2,809 carried over.

Shock: AI labour shock S08. −31.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events	Graph
Digital & Services Trade	−0.42	−0.39	−0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication	−0.34	−0.34	−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance	−0.34	−0.34	0.00
Labour & Employment	−0.34	−0.34	0.00
Artificial Intelligence	−0.33	−0.32	−0.01
Digital & AI Competence	−0.24	−0.22	−0.02