Round 3 · simulation 16 · stress-preview.e5-kor-s01-greedy

Round 2029

Round 3 of 10 in simulation 16 of South Korea, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.085 to 16.05.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.05 (−0.085)
In: 16.13
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
551
In: 368
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0815.86−0.2222 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.23−0.0822
National Security14.4114.32−0.0833
Human Capital17.1117.63+0.5151
Information & Influence15.9015.69−0.2112
Governance & Integrity15.8415.74−0.1004
Financial Strength16.0715.87−0.2075
Production & Innovation16.6316.43−0.1961
Trade & Investment16.8216.64−0.1822

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014, plus 368 carried in. Maintenance 680. Spent 152 on actions (build 122, buy 30). 551 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.02 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 21 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 1.68 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 4 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 5 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.21 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −34.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.39+1.440.00−0.050.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.24+1.290.00−0.050.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.92+0.980.00−0.060.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.63+0.680.00−0.050.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.57+0.980.00−0.410.00
Advanced Education+0.45+0.510.00−0.060.00