Round 4 · simulation 1 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-allocation

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.151 to 16.34.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.34 (+0.151)
In: 16.19
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
750
In: 548
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.080.0002
Strategic Infrastructure16.3416.37+0.0282
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital17.4417.85+0.4041
Information & Influence15.4916.19+0.6973 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.8415.84+0.0014
Financial Strength16.4316.51+0.0841
Production & Innovation16.8216.82+0.0031
Trade & Investment16.8216.96+0.1442 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,039, plus 548 carried in. Maintenance 683. Spent 155 on actions (build 31, buy 31, partner 93). 750 carried over.

  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.77 levelscmaes
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance31 credits for 2.00 levelscmaes
  • BuildFoundational Education31 credits for 1.10 levelscmaes
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation31 credits for 2.47 levelscmaes
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.91 levelscmaes

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.06+2.000.000.00+0.06
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.23+1.230.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.04+1.040.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.95+0.950.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.89+0.890.000.00+0.01