Round 7 · simulation 1 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-allocation

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.072 to 16.58.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.58 (−0.072)
In: 16.65
Rank by index
3
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
1,086
In: 959
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1116.17+0.0612
Strategic Infrastructure16.4416.16−0.2782
National Security14.4114.08−0.3343
Human Capital18.3818.46+0.0821
Information & Influence17.1316.77−0.3571
Governance & Integrity15.8515.71−0.1304
Financial Strength16.7316.76+0.0221
Production & Innovation16.9616.93−0.0361
Trade & Investment17.8418.16+0.3201

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,089, plus 959 carried in. Maintenance 802. Spent 160 on actions (build 96, buy 32, partner 32). 1,086 carried over.

  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration32 credits for 1.00 levelscmaes
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade32 credits for 1.83 levelscmaes
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights32 credits for 1.29 levelscmaes
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development32 credits for 1.36 levelscmaes
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence32 credits for 1.91 levelscmaes
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.79+1.910.00−0.13+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.77+0.920.00−0.16+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.73+0.900.00−0.170.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.59+0.750.00−0.160.00
Maritime Power−0.560.000.00−0.560.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.560.000.00−0.560.00