Round 16 · simulation 3 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-allocation

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.227 to 17.62.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.62 (+0.227)
In: 17.39
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
860
In: 919
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2816.62+0.3402
Strategic Infrastructure17.0217.16+0.1341
National Security14.5614.58+0.0122
Human Capital18.7518.85+0.1041
Information & Influence17.6417.90+0.2551
Governance & Integrity18.4118.67+0.2661
Financial Strength17.3117.74+0.4311
Production & Innovation18.1218.49+0.3711
Trade & Investment18.4618.59+0.1301

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,095, plus 919 carried in. Maintenance 989. Spent 164 on actions (build 98, buy 33, partner 33). 860 carried over.

  • BuildDiaspora & Global Communities33 credits for 1.44 levelscmaes
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity33 credits for 1.22 levelscmaes
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation33 credits for 1.54 levelscmaes
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability33 credits for 1.03 levelscmaes
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication33 credits for 1.50 levelscmaes
  • Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +32.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.65+1.540.00+0.100.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity+1.48+1.340.00+0.10+0.03
Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship+1.16+1.020.00+0.10+0.03
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.83+0.750.00+0.05+0.03
Space Technologies+0.74+0.620.00+0.10+0.02
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.64+0.470.00+0.10+0.06