Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.039 to 16.07.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.07 (−0.038)
- In: 16.11
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 580
- In: 373
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 15.92 | −0.164 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.35 | 16.32 | −0.032 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | +0.001 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.92 | 16.94 | +0.027 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.50 | 15.52 | +0.023 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.93 | 16.00 | +0.070 | 4 → 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.49 | 16.45 | −0.038 | 4 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.46 | −0.172 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.68 | 16.62 | −0.063 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,029, plus 373 carried in. Maintenance 670. Spent 153 on actions (build 61, buy 31, partner 61). 580 carried over.
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access31 credits for 1.98 levelscmaes
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills31 credits for 2.03 levelscmaes
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation31 credits for 2.44 levelscmaes
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.71 levelscmaes
- BuyRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls31 credits for 0.92 levelscmaes
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −27.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.35 | +1.44 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.07 | +1.22 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.81 | +0.99 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |
| Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls | +0.77 | +0.92 | 0.00 | −0.15 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.52 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.30 | 0.00 |
| Justice System & Fundamental Rights | +0.41 | +0.49 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |