Round 14 · simulation 1 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-greedy

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.147 to 16.39.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.39 (+0.146)
In: 16.24
Rank by index
4
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
1,122
In: 956
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9415.98+0.0422
Strategic Infrastructure15.3915.62+0.2272
National Security12.8612.85−0.0053
Human Capital18.7718.87+0.0981
Information & Influence17.1217.13+0.0091
Governance & Integrity16.7617.14+0.3831
Financial Strength15.5615.64+0.0855
Production & Innovation16.6016.71+0.1071
Trade & Investment17.1717.54+0.3752 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,036, plus 956 carried in. Maintenance 710. Spent 160 on actions (build 64, partner 96). 1,122 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance32 credits for 0.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 7 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics32 credits for 1.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 6 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication32 credits for 1.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence32 credits for 1.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Communications & Digital Infrastructure by 2 per cent
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure32 credits for 1.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +14.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Resource Infrastructure+1.19+1.150.00+0.04−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.95+0.910.00+0.04−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.87+0.890.00+0.04−0.06
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+0.83+0.780.00+0.040.00
Political Institutions & Civic Participation+0.81+0.750.00+0.04+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.73+0.730.00+0.04−0.04