Round 2 · simulation 1 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-cmaes-open-loop

Round 2028

Round 2 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.054 to 11.61.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index: 11.61 (+0.053); In: 11.55
Rank by index: 32; In: 32
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 133; In: 64

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	6.17	6.38	+0.214	7
Strategic Infrastructure	10.86	10.86	0.000	5
National Security	7.54	7.59	+0.047	6
Human Capital	14.56	14.56	0.000	3
Information & Influence	10.79	10.94	+0.153	6
Governance & Integrity	15.46	15.46	0.000	3
Financial Strength	13.08	13.10	+0.025	9
Production & Innovation	12.92	12.96	+0.043	5
Trade & Investment	12.60	12.60	+0.002	6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 395, plus 64 carried in. Maintenance 267. Spent 59 on actions (build 23, buy 23, partner 12). 133 carried over.

BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.14 levelscmaes
PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.98 levelscmaes
BuySpace Operations12 credits for 0.95 levelscmaes
BuildEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.67 levelscmaes
BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 0.99 levelscmaes

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing	+1.14	+1.14
Space Technologies	+0.99	+0.99
Alliances & Security Cooperation	+0.59	+0.59
Space Operations	+0.47	+0.47
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance	+0.33	+0.33
Economic Output & Productivity	+0.22	+0.22