Round 3 · simulation 1 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-cmaes-open-loop

Round 2029

Round 3 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.084 to 11.69.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.69 (+0.085)
In: 11.61
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
195
In: 126
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.386.63+0.2487
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.597.64+0.0486
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.9411.20+0.2556
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.1013.12+0.0149
Production & Innovation12.9613.05+0.0855
Trade & Investment12.6012.71+0.1076

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 398, plus 126 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 59 on actions (buy 24, partner 36). 195 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.08 levelscmaes
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.95 levelscmaes
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.16 levelscmaes
  • PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.66 levelscmaes
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 1.19 levelscmaes
The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.51+1.480.000.00+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.08+1.080.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.97+0.970.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.55+0.550.000.000.00
Space Operations+0.47+0.470.000.000.00