Round 2028
Round 2 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.266 to 11.29.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.29 (−0.266)
- In: 11.56
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 133
- In: 64
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.17 | 6.26 | +0.091 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.47 | −0.394 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.41 | −0.130 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.56 | 14.29 | −0.271 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.69 | 10.29 | −0.403 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.25 | −0.210 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.23 | 12.80 | −0.421 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.92 | 12.64 | −0.282 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.60 | 12.22 | −0.373 | 6 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 395, plus 64 carried in. Maintenance 267. Spent 59 on actions (build 12, buy 12, partner 35). 133 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.14 levelscmaes
- PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.98 levelscmaes
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.36 levelscmaes
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.66 levelscmaes
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 1.18 levelscmaes
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −21.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.06 | +1.14 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.93 | +0.99 | 0.00 | −0.06 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.81 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.72 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.69 | 0.00 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.65 | 0.00 |