Round 3 · simulation 2 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-cmaes-open-loop

Round 2029

Round 3 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.054 to 11.35.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index: 11.35 (+0.054); In: 11.29
Rank by index: 34; In: 34
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 211; In: 127

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	6.26	6.50	+0.238	7
Strategic Infrastructure	10.47	10.51	+0.042	5
National Security	7.41	7.41	0.000	6
Human Capital	14.29	14.29	0.000	3
Information & Influence	10.29	10.30	+0.006	6
Governance & Integrity	15.25	15.25	−0.002	4
Financial Strength	12.80	12.82	+0.014	9
Production & Innovation	12.64	12.73	+0.095	5
Trade & Investment	12.22	12.31	+0.088	7 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 389, plus 127 carried in. Maintenance 257. Spent 47 on actions (buy 24, partner 24). 211 carried over.

BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.09 levelscmaes
PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.95 levelscmaes
PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.67 levelscmaes
BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure12 credits for 0.84 levelscmaes

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing	+1.09	+1.09	0.00
Space Technologies	+0.97	+0.97	0.00
Economic Output & Productivity	+0.66	+0.66	0.00
Trade Policy & Market Access	+0.58	+0.59	−0.01
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure	+0.42	+0.42	0.00
Artificial Intelligence	+0.28	0.00	+0.28