Round 4 · simulation 2 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-cmaes-open-loop

Round 2030

Round 4 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.071 to 11.42.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.42 (+0.071)
In: 11.35
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
277
In: 201
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.506.69+0.1897 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.5110.54+0.0325
National Security7.417.43+0.0176
Human Capital14.2914.31+0.0223
Information & Influence10.3010.49+0.1966
Governance & Integrity15.2515.25−0.0014
Financial Strength12.8212.86+0.0389
Production & Innovation12.7312.87+0.1405
Trade & Investment12.3112.32+0.0106

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 395, plus 201 carried in. Maintenance 260. Spent 58 on actions (build 12, buy 35, partner 12). 277 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.99 levelscmaes
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.69 levelscmaes
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.19 levelscmaes
  • BuildAir Power12 credits for 0.55 levelscmaes
  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation12 credits for 0.64 levelscmaes

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.19+1.190.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.01+1.030.000.00−0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.47+0.480.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.42+0.420.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.340.000.000.00+0.34