Round 2 · simulation 1 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-greedy

Round 2028

Round 2 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, greedy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.068 to 11.62.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.62 (+0.068)
In: 11.56
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
132
In: 64
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.306.88+0.5777
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.6910.690.0006
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.0813.10+0.0259
Production & Innovation12.9212.93+0.0115
Trade & Investment12.6012.60+0.0026

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 395, plus 64 carried in. Maintenance 268. Spent 59 on actions (buy 47, partner 12). 132 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.14 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 14 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 8 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.18 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 5 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies12 credits for 1.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 2 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing12 credits for 1.21 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.24+1.240.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.21+1.210.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.18+1.180.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.14+1.140.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.150.000.000.00+0.15