Round 3 · simulation 1 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-greedy

Round 2029

Round 3 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, greedy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.073 to 11.70.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.70 (+0.073)
In: 11.62
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
191
In: 126
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.887.49+0.6107 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.6910.70+0.0096
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.1013.11+0.0079
Production & Innovation12.9312.94+0.0065
Trade & Investment12.6012.62+0.0216

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 397, plus 126 carried in. Maintenance 273. Spent 59 on actions (buy 48, partner 12). 191 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.08 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 12 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 10 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation12 credits for 1.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 2 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 3 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies12 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.47+1.090.000.00+0.38
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.32+1.270.000.00+0.06
Energy Technologies+1.16+1.160.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.08+1.080.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.97+0.970.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.150.000.000.00+0.15