Round 4 · simulation 2 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-mcts-index

Round 2030

Round 4 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, tree search, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.059 to 11.43.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.43 (+0.059)
In: 11.37
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
249
In: 184
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.097.54+0.4496
Strategic Infrastructure10.4610.46−0.0095
National Security7.417.42+0.0046
Human Capital14.2814.28−0.0033
Information & Influence10.4910.49−0.0026
Governance & Integrity15.2515.24−0.0024
Financial Strength12.6212.61−0.0079
Production & Innovation12.5912.68+0.0935
Trade & Investment12.1212.13+0.0078

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 386, plus 184 carried in. Maintenance 263. Spent 58 on actions (build 12, buy 46). 249 carried over.

  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.52 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuySpace Technologies12 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies12 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing12 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Technologies+1.29+1.290.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+1.15+1.150.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.12+1.120.000.00−0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.71+0.730.000.00−0.02
Artificial Intelligence+0.380.000.000.00+0.38
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.35+0.350.000.000.00