Round 14 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.096 to 12.50.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.50 (+0.096)
In: 12.40
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
181
In: 163
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.2810.29+0.0135
Strategic Infrastructure13.1313.15+0.0193
National Security8.928.92+0.0065
Human Capital15.3515.52+0.1691
Information & Influence12.8913.05+0.1564 → 3
Governance & Integrity11.5211.51−0.00210
Financial Strength13.0313.10+0.0759
Production & Innovation12.3112.50+0.1904
Trade & Investment14.1914.43+0.2385 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 430, plus 163 carried in. Maintenance 305. Spent 107 on actions (buy 43, partner 64). 181 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation22 credits for 1.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation22 credits for 0.96 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence22 credits for 1.63 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Output & Productivity+1.11+1.070.000.00+0.04
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.00+0.960.000.00+0.04
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.85+0.810.000.00+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.84+0.840.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.42+0.420.000.000.00