Round 17 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.004 to 12.76.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.76 (−0.004)
In: 12.76
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
210
In: 201
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.9811.30+0.3174 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure13.3213.28−0.0453
National Security8.958.97+0.0195
Human Capital15.5815.49−0.0951
Information & Influence13.3813.36−0.0243
Governance & Integrity11.5211.41−0.10710
Financial Strength13.2113.03−0.1808
Production & Innovation12.5612.62+0.0614 → 2
Trade & Investment15.3415.36+0.0192

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 455, plus 201 carried in. Maintenance 333. Spent 113 on actions (buy 91, partner 23). 210 carried over.

  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion23 credits for 1.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics23 credits for 1.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing23 credits for 1.63 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation23 credits for 1.64 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 1 per cent
  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −28.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.50+1.630.00−0.15+0.03
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.48+1.640.00−0.17+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.42+1.590.00−0.18+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.42+1.540.00−0.17+0.05
Global Value Chain Position+0.59+0.760.00−0.19+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.59+0.770.00−0.180.00