Round 8 · simulation 89 · cycle-001.e3-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 89 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.155 to 12.25.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.25 (+0.155)
In: 12.10
Rank by index
27
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
95
In: 65
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.309.54+0.2416 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure13.3713.45+0.0753
National Security8.928.94+0.0195
Human Capital15.1615.39+0.2281
Information & Influence12.1212.46+0.3406 → 4
Governance & Integrity11.8311.89+0.0609
Financial Strength13.4013.44+0.0419
Production & Innovation12.3712.44+0.0715
Trade & Investment12.4212.74+0.3235

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 418, plus 65 carried in. Maintenance 287. Spent 101 on actions (build 20, buy 20, partner 61). 95 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +8.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+2.05+1.780.00+0.02+0.25
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.89+1.860.00+0.020.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.88+0.820.00+0.05+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.87+0.820.00+0.050.00
Advanced Education+0.74+0.690.00+0.05+0.01
Digital & AI Competence+0.66+0.610.00+0.050.00