Round 6 · simulation 21 · cycle-001.e3-bra-hold

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 21 of Brazil, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.124 to 11.45.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index: 11.45 (−0.124); In: 11.58
Rank by index: 34; In: 31
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 618; In: 520

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	9.05	8.90	−0.155	6
Strategic Infrastructure	13.74	13.67	−0.075	3
National Security	9.41	9.41	−0.004	5
Human Capital	12.05	11.92	−0.124	6 → 7
Information & Influence	11.79	11.63	−0.163	5
Governance & Integrity	12.23	12.13	−0.098	9
Financial Strength	12.68	12.52	−0.158	10
Production & Innovation	11.48	11.33	−0.154	8
Trade & Investment	11.75	11.57	−0.184	8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 370, plus 520 carried in. Maintenance 272. Nothing spent on actions. 618 carried over.

Shock: AI labour shock S08. −25.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events	Graph
Digital & Services Trade	−0.32	−0.32	0.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication	−0.28	−0.28	0.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance	−0.28	−0.28	0.00
Artificial Intelligence	−0.28	−0.28	+0.01
Labour & Employment	−0.27	−0.27	0.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling	−0.19	−0.19	−0.01