Round 14 · simulation 21 · cycle-001.e3-bra-hold

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 21 of Brazil, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.470 to 10.75.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index: 10.75 (−0.470); In: 11.22
Rank by index: 38; In: 34
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 989; In: 886

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	8.64	8.36	−0.274	6
Strategic Infrastructure	13.52	13.24	−0.283	3
National Security	9.41	8.74	−0.676	5
Human Capital	11.71	11.53	−0.176	7
Information & Influence	11.30	10.53	−0.765	6
Governance & Integrity	11.97	11.46	−0.513	9
Financial Strength	12.18	11.31	−0.866	11
Production & Innovation	11.04	10.77	−0.274	9
Trade & Investment	11.20	10.80	−0.399	8 → 9

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 362, plus 886 carried in. Maintenance 259. Nothing spent on actions. 989 carried over.

Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −36.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events
Information Environment & Strategic Communication	−1.33	−1.33
Force Generation & Mobilisation	−1.33	−1.33
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance	−1.32	−1.33
Monetary & Currency Capability	−1.28	−1.29
Investment Attraction & Projection	−0.73	−0.73
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence	−0.71	−0.71