Round 5 · simulation 91 · cycle-001.e3-bra-hold

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 91 of Brazil, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Chronic disease advance, and the index +0.056 to 11.75.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.75 (+0.056)
In: 11.69
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
503
In: 392
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.959.03+0.0826
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.85+0.0453
National Security9.429.420.0005
Human Capital11.8811.96+0.0837
Information & Influence11.8611.90+0.0385
Governance & Integrity12.1112.21+0.0939
Financial Strength13.1313.21+0.0879
Production & Innovation11.8811.92+0.0388 → 6
Trade & Investment12.1812.22+0.0377

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 386, plus 392 carried in. Maintenance 275. Nothing spent on actions. 503 carried over.

  • Upside event: Chronic disease advance S19. +20.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.150.000.00+0.150.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.150.000.00+0.150.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+0.150.000.00+0.150.00
Health System Capability+0.150.000.00+0.150.00
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.150.000.00+0.150.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.070.000.00+0.070.00