Round 8 · simulation 91 · cycle-001.e3-bra-hold

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 91 of Brazil, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.197 to 11.66.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index: 11.66 (−0.197); In: 11.86
Rank by index: 31; In: 30
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 818; In: 682

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	9.20	9.07	−0.129	6
Strategic Infrastructure	13.94	13.58	−0.364	3
National Security	9.42	8.93	−0.483	5
Human Capital	12.13	12.21	+0.085	6
Information & Influence	11.98	11.51	−0.470	5
Governance & Integrity	12.39	12.22	−0.176	9
Financial Strength	13.39	13.48	+0.091	9 → 8
Production & Innovation	12.00	11.85	−0.144	6 → 8
Trade & Investment	12.29	12.12	−0.180	7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 418, plus 682 carried in. Maintenance 282. Nothing spent on actions. 818 carried over.

Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −19.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events	Graph
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations	−0.82	−0.83	0.00
Intelligence & Assessment	−0.80	−0.80	0.00
Maritime Power	−0.79	−0.79	0.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication	−0.73	−0.73	0.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation	−0.72	−0.73	0.00
Energy Infrastructure	−0.65	−0.65	+0.01