Round 9 · simulation 18 · cycle-001.e3-bra-mirror-peer

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 18 of Brazil, mirror a peer, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.284 to 11.80.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.80 (−0.283)
In: 12.08
Rank by index
30
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
83
In: 72
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.639.35−0.2746
Strategic Infrastructure13.6113.32−0.2893
National Security8.968.48−0.4795
Human Capital13.7113.63−0.0843
Information & Influence11.7111.12−0.5895 → 6
Governance & Integrity12.8812.76−0.1209
Financial Strength13.2212.63−0.5899 → 10
Production & Innovation12.5612.61+0.0556
Trade & Investment12.4712.28−0.1847

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the mirror a peer (aut) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 391, plus 72 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 97 on actions (build 19, buy 77). 83 carried over.

  • BuyStructural Transformation & Complexity19 credits for 1.12 levelsgoal_gapahead of Internal Security & Order by 0 per cent
  • BuyInternal Security & Order19 credits for 0.94 levelsgoal_gapahead of Government Effectiveness & Public Administration by 1 per cent
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration19 credits for 0.82 levelsgoal_gapahead of Innovation & Commercialisation by 1 per cent
  • BuyInnovation & Commercialisation19 credits for 0.99 levelsgoal_gapahead of Health System Capability by 3 per cent
  • BuyHealth System Capability19 credits for 0.84 levelsgoal_gapahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −21.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −6.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.970.000.00−0.98+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.920.000.00−0.91−0.01
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.870.000.00−0.870.00
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.83+1.120.00−0.30+0.01
Innovation & Commercialisation+0.69+0.990.00−0.31+0.01
Health System Capability+0.65+0.840.00−0.200.00