Round 2 · simulation 18 · cycle-001.e3-bra-random

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 18 of Brazil, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.085 to 11.79.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.79 (+0.085)
In: 11.70
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
61
In: 47
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.989.04+0.0616
Strategic Infrastructure13.8113.86+0.0403
National Security9.469.53+0.0675
Human Capital11.8811.93+0.0547 → 6
Information & Influence11.8611.89+0.0305
Governance & Integrity12.1112.14+0.0309
Financial Strength13.1513.24+0.0859
Production & Innovation11.8812.15+0.2728 → 6
Trade & Investment12.1812.30+0.1247

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 386, plus 47 carried in. Maintenance 276. Spent 97 on actions (build 39, buy 19, partner 39). 61 carried over.

  • BuildSensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 0.88 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion19 credits for 1.82 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence19 credits for 1.59 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildFinancial Stability & Crisis Management19 credits for 0.79 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.16 levelsrandom_draw
  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +3.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 7 to 6; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.83+1.820.00+0.010.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.81+0.800.00+0.010.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management+0.45+0.440.00+0.010.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.40+0.390.00+0.010.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations+0.39+0.360.00+0.020.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.29+0.290.000.000.00