Round 5 · simulation 18 · cycle-001.e3-bra-random

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 18 of Brazil, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.228 to 11.69.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.69 (−0.228)
In: 11.92
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
275
In: 204
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.179.03−0.1436
Strategic Infrastructure13.9313.50−0.4283
National Security9.649.16−0.4805
Human Capital12.0512.06+0.0076
Information & Influence11.9911.51−0.4825
Governance & Integrity12.2111.93−0.2819
Financial Strength13.3513.38+0.0228
Production & Innovation12.4112.37−0.0476 → 5
Trade & Investment12.4912.27−0.2266

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 388, plus 204 carried in. Maintenance 285. Spent 32 on actions (build 12, buy 20). 275 carried over.

  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity8 credits for 0.33 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyForce Generation & Mobilisation8 credits for 0.35 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy4 credits for 0.20 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.71 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks4 credits for 0.18 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −20.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Intelligence & Assessment−0.830.000.00−0.830.00
Maritime Power−0.820.000.00−0.820.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation−0.790.000.00−0.790.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.790.000.00−0.80+0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.75+0.110.00−0.860.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure−0.720.000.00−0.720.00