Round 9 · simulation 18 · cycle-001.e3-bra-random

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 18 of Brazil, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.394 to 11.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.36 (−0.393)
In: 11.76
Rank by index
34
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
494
In: 429
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.108.83−0.2666
Strategic Infrastructure13.5613.31−0.2483
National Security9.268.75−0.5045
Human Capital12.0911.87−0.2166
Information & Influence11.5911.04−0.5495 → 6
Governance & Integrity11.9411.55−0.3859
Financial Strength13.4412.76−0.6828 → 9
Production & Innovation12.5712.26−0.3085 → 6
Trade & Investment12.2611.88−0.3866 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 392, plus 429 carried in. Maintenance 276. Spent 51 on actions (build 27, buy 23). 494 carried over.

  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights20 credits for 0.97 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure20 credits for 0.89 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildRobotics & Autonomous Systems4 credits for 0.20 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyExport Capability & Sophistication4 credits for 0.21 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure4 credits for 0.14 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −22.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −7.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.030.000.00−1.05+0.02
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.010.000.00−1.010.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.950.000.00−0.94−0.01
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.86+0.030.00−0.900.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.600.000.00−0.600.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.600.000.00−0.600.00