Round 11 · simulation 18 · cycle-001.e3-bra-random

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 18 of Brazil, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.441 to 10.94.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.94 (−0.440)
In: 11.38
Rank by index
35
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
594
In: 530
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.848.24−0.5966
Strategic Infrastructure13.3613.05−0.3063
National Security8.778.09−0.6795 → 6
Human Capital11.8811.88+0.0056
Information & Influence11.0910.33−0.7636 → 7
Governance & Integrity11.5911.25−0.3329 → 10
Financial Strength12.7412.08−0.6579 → 10
Production & Innovation12.2612.02−0.2426 → 7
Trade & Investment11.8611.47−0.3957

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 371, plus 530 carried in. Maintenance 260. Spent 48 on actions (build 41, partner 7). 594 carried over.

  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.28 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildResource Infrastructure4 credits for 0.11 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.21 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerSocial Infrastructure4 credits for 0.16 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.92 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −32.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 5 to 6; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 7; Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−1.230.000.00−1.230.00
Intelligence & Assessment−1.220.000.00−1.21−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.160.000.00−1.15−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−1.110.000.00−1.10−0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−1.090.000.00−1.080.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies−0.74+0.430.00−1.160.00