Round 5 · simulation 31 · cycle-001.e3-bra-random

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 31 of Brazil, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.179 to 11.65.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.65 (−0.179)
In: 11.83
Rank by index
31
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
208
In: 169
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.259.05−0.1956
Strategic Infrastructure13.9113.53−0.3903
National Security9.509.09−0.4085
Human Capital11.9612.00+0.0416
Information & Influence11.8811.40−0.4805
Governance & Integrity12.1811.95−0.2349
Financial Strength13.1813.29+0.1099 → 7
Production & Innovation12.0912.02−0.0706
Trade & Investment12.5312.54+0.0176

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 387, plus 169 carried in. Maintenance 283. Spent 66 on actions (build 23, buy 39, partner 4). 208 carried over.

  • BuyFinancial System Depth & Access19 credits for 0.59 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption4 credits for 0.18 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure19 credits for 0.68 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 0.99 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.14 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −19.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Maritime Power−0.770.000.00−0.78+0.01
Intelligence & Assessment−0.770.000.00−0.79+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.77+0.990.00−0.220.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.750.000.00−0.760.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation−0.750.000.00−0.750.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure−0.680.000.00−0.680.00