Round 18 · simulation 100 · cycle-001.e3-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 100 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.090 to 11.57.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.57 (+0.091)
In: 11.47
Rank by index
32
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
110
In: 121
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.799.87+0.0755
Strategic Infrastructure10.1110.12+0.0105
National Security7.507.51+0.0126
Human Capital15.0315.02−0.0102
Information & Influence11.7811.91+0.1334
Governance & Integrity14.4814.48−0.0075
Financial Strength10.4810.44−0.04014
Production & Innovation11.5411.86+0.3156 → 4
Trade & Investment12.5612.88+0.3236 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 333, plus 121 carried in. Maintenance 255. Spent 89 on actions (buy 36, partner 53). 110 carried over.

  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection18 credits for 1.39 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 2 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion18 credits for 1.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 0.91 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade18 credits for 1.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.41+1.420.000.00−0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.90+0.910.000.000.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.75+0.750.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.74+0.750.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.74+0.740.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.65+0.690.000.00−0.04