Round 4 · simulation 59 · cycle-001.e3-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 59 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.093 to 11.85.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.85 (+0.093)
In: 11.75
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
113
In: 83
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.087.42+0.3396
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.93+0.0665
National Security7.547.55+0.0096
Human Capital14.8115.03+0.2163 → 2
Information & Influence11.0911.23+0.1476
Governance & Integrity15.4615.46+0.0013
Financial Strength13.1413.14+0.0068
Production & Innovation13.1413.15+0.0105
Trade & Investment12.6412.68+0.0466

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 369, plus 83 carried in. Maintenance 247. Spent 92 on actions (build 37, buy 37, partner 18). 113 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 5 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 1 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling18 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies18 credits for 1.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.90+1.900.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.76+0.730.000.00+0.04
Space Technologies+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.65+0.640.000.00+0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.64+0.640.000.000.00