Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 59 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.689 to 11.16.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.16 (−0.689)
- In: 11.85
- Rank by index
- 35
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 134
- In: 108
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.42 | 7.13 | −0.294 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.93 | 10.19 | −0.741 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.55 | 6.36 | −1.188 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.03 | 15.09 | +0.064 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.23 | 10.46 | −0.773 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 14.88 | −0.577 | 3 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.14 | 12.03 | −1.117 | 8 → 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.15 | 12.45 | −0.704 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.68 | 11.81 | −0.870 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 369, plus 108 carried in. Maintenance 251. Spent 92 on actions (buy 74, partner 19). 134 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.87 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 1 per cent
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −33.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −27.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 11; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritime Power | −1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.66 | 0.00 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.60 | 0.00 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.66 | +0.12 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.49 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.50 | +0.04 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.41 | 0.00 |